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Story · United States · 25 Sept 2026

Henry Hub natural gas prices were 6% lower this summer

The Henry Hub natural gas spot price averaged $2.93 per million British thermal units from June to August 2026, 6% below the same period in 2025 despite exceptionally hot weather.

EnergyCommoditiesInflation
Relevance date 25 Sept 2026, 14:00Updated 1 Oct 2026, 09:01Exam relevance 79/100
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-6%

Summer price change from 2025

$2.93 per MMBtu

Henry Hub average, June–August 2026

77°F

Lower 48 July 2026 average temperature

Exam link: Inflation → real incomes and purchasing power → consumption; policy response depends on the cause

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Understand the storyExpand

The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that the Henry Hub spot price averaged $2.93 per million British thermal units from June through August 2026, 6% lower than a year earlier. Prices remained lower even as hot weather raised electricity demand for air conditioning because record natural gas production, ample inventories and higher renewable generation helped keep supply conditions loose. Maintenance at liquefied natural gas terminals also moderated demand growth.

What happened

Natural gas demand for power generation was supported by unusually hot weather, including a Lower 48 average temperature of 77°F in July 2026. Even so, the Henry Hub benchmark averaged $2.93 per million British thermal units over June to August, down 6% from the same summer period in 2025. EIA linked the lower prices to strong production, inventories, renewable generation and temporary LNG-terminal maintenance.

Why it matters

The result shows how a rightward shift in energy supply can outweigh stronger demand and push a commodity price down. Cheaper natural gas can reduce electricity-generation and business energy costs, easing one source of cost-push inflation, although the pass-through to household bills depends on contracts, regulation and other costs.

Economic context

For A-Level Economics, this is a strong U.S. example for supply and demand, commodity markets and cost-push inflation. Use the 2026 price fall to show that higher demand does not necessarily raise equilibrium price when supply increases more strongly. Henry Hub is a wholesale benchmark, so it should not be treated as the same thing as the final price paid by every household or firm.

All key dataExpand
Summer price change from 2025
-6%
Henry Hub average, June–August 2026
$2.93 per MMBtu
Lower 48 July 2026 average temperature
77°F
Use it in an examExpand

Evidence

The Henry Hub natural gas spot price averaged $2.93 per million British thermal units from June to August 2026, 6% below the same period in 2025 despite exceptionally hot weather.

Explain

The result shows how a rightward shift in energy supply can outweigh stronger demand and push a commodity price down. Cheaper natural gas can reduce electricity-generation and business energy costs, easing one source of cost-push inflation, although the pass-through to household bills depends on contracts, regulation and other costs.

Evaluate

For A-Level Economics, this is a strong U.S. example for supply and demand, commodity markets and cost-push inflation. Use the 2026 price fall to show that higher demand does not necessarily raise equilibrium price when supply increases more strongly. Henry Hub is a wholesale benchmark, so it should not be treated as the same thing as the final price paid by every household or firm.

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